🏡 South Metro MN Real Estate Market Report – December 2025

Dakota County & Scott County | Year-over-Year Comparison

As we wrap up the year, understanding how the market finished gives buyers and sellers a strong foundation heading into 2026. December data often reflects a seasonal slowdown but it also reveals where momentum is quietly building.

The December 2025 numbers across Dakota and Scott County show steady demand, improved closings, and opportunities on both sides of the market.

📍 Dakota County – December 2025 vs. December 2024

Market Snapshot:

• Median Sales Price: $386,500 (-0.9%)

• Average Days on Market: 43 (-4.4%)

• Median Price per Sq Ft: $195 (no change)

• Sales-to-List Price Ratio: 96.8% (-0.4%)

• New Listings: 344 (+11%)

• Months Supply: 1.9 (no change)

• Pending Sales: 317 (+8.2%)

• Closed Sales: 429 (+7.5%)

What This Means:
Prices cooled slightly, but buyer activity picked up. Pending and closed sales both increased, signaling strong year-end demand. Homes sold faster than last year, and inventory remains tight, keeping Dakota County competitive despite price softening.

📍 Scott County – December 2025 vs. December 2024

Market Snapshot:

• Median Sales Price: $445,000 (+4.7%)

• Average Days on Market: 47 (-4.1%)

• Median Price per Sq Ft: $203 (-0.5%)

• Sales-to-List Price Ratio: 96.4% (+0.3%)

• New Listings: 119 (-5.6%)

• Months Supply: 2.3 (-4.2%)

• Pending Sales: 100 (-4.8%)

• Closed Sales: 155 (+10.7%)

What This Means:
Scott County ended the year strong. Prices climbed, inventory tightened, and closed sales jumped—suggesting buyers who entered contract earlier in the season followed through. While new pendings dipped, reduced supply is keeping values supported.

🔑 Key Takeaways for Buyers & Sellers

For Buyers

• Winter Competition Is Lower – Fewer listings mean fewer buyers competing for the same homes.

• Price Adjustments Create Opportunity – Especially in Dakota County, where values softened slightly.

• Serious Sellers Remain Active – Many year-end sellers are motivated and open to negotiation.

For Sellers

• Closings Are Up in Both Counties – Proof that buyers are still committing.

• Pricing Matters More Than Ever – Homes are selling below list on average, making strategy key.

• Low Inventory Supports Values – Particularly in Scott County, where supply declined.

📊 Bottom Line

December wrapped up 2025 with a stable, opportunity-driven market. Buyers gained leverage through seasonal timing, while sellers who priced and prepared correctly still saw solid results. As we head into 2026, understanding these trends will be key to making confident decisions.

📩 Want to review your home’s value or plan your 2026 move?
Reach out anytime, I’m happy to help.